Activity 5

Assessment socio-economic impacts of the most probable scenarios and evaluation of adaptation strategies that can be taken

1. Assembling existing dataset originated from different sources (Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN-RICA), research centres, cooperatives, extension service, etc.) and acquiring data on spatial coordinates of the farms producing grape and apples in order to construct a fully georeferentiated dataset.

2. Evaluation of the spatial and temporal variability in crop yield and farm income (both calculated from farm accountancy) with respect to climate related variables during the reference period (2003-2007).

3. Understanding the farmer’s perception of climate change, how they are affected by climatic conditions, their acceptance of the adaptive strategies that are available to them, and the constraints and opportunities for enhancing their adaptive capacity.

4. Modelling the farmers behaviour in response to climate variation and to the consequent change in pest ecology (type and density)

5. Evaluation of the overall sustainability of the proposed adaptation strategies at the farm and at provincial level.

6. Evaluation at the provincial level of the social acceptability of the proposed adaptation strategies

7. Evaluation of potential alternative crops in case of extreme events in Trentino